專題討論會議3
Workshop3

時間：2017/6/19 ~ 2017/6/23

會議目的：

• 計畫說明及目標
• 說明專題討論會議進行規則
• 說明第三版SSC及GMC邏輯樹模型與其敏感度分析之結果
• 檢視與挑戰由技術整合專家所提出的邏輯樹模型
• 確認邏輯樹模型可完整的呈現中值、範圍與不確定性與在技術上具合理的解釋(the CBR of TDI)
• 確認需進一步進行評估的模型參數

議程：

• June 19, 2017 (Monday), Morning
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  09:00 ~ 10:40 Chaired by C.L. Wu
  Project Introduction	09:00 ~ 09:10	Opening, Project Introduction and Workshop Ground Rules	10	S.J. Hwang (黃世建) C.L. Wu (吳俊霖)	Jean-Claude Sibuet Wen-Nan Wu (吳文男) Ya-Ju Hsu (許雅儒) Jing-Yi Lin (林靜怡) J.Bruce H. Shyu (徐澔德) Song-Chuen Chen (陳松春) Char-Shine Liu (劉家瑄) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	09:10 ~ 09:30	SSHAC Training	20	N. Abrahamson
  SSC Tasks and Issues	09:30 ~ 10:00	SSC Tasks and Issues	30	B.S. Huang (黃柏壽)
  	10:00 ~ 10:30	Sensitivity Analysis	30	C.H. Loh (羅俊雄)
  	10:30 ~ 10:40	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Question REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  10:40 ~ 11:00		Break
  11:00 ~ 12:30 Chaired by B.S. Huang
  Logic Tree	11:00 ~  12:30	Current Logic Tree Principle of Weighting, Scaling Law	90	K. Clahan	Jean-Claude Sibuet Wen-Nan Wu (吳文男) J.Bruce H. Shyu (徐澔德) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  12:30 ~ 13:30		Lunch



• June 19, 2017 (Monday), Afternoon
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  13:30 ~ 15:00 Chaired by Kevin
  Areal Source- I	13:30 ~ 15:00	Areal Source Shallow, Deep zone and Zoneless 1.Geological Scheme Zoning 2.Seismic Source Type	90	C.T. Cheng (鄭錦桐)	Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  15:00 ~ 15:20		Break
  15:20 ~ 16:50 Chaired by Kevin
  Areal Source -II	15:20 ~ 16:50	Areal source modeling: 1.B value Processing 2.Three Region Boundary 3.Max. Magnitude Setting 4.Volcanic Source 5.Earthquake Catalog Application	90	C.H. Yeh (葉錦勳)	Wen-Nan Wu (吳文男) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  16:50 ~ 17:00		Break
  17:00 ~ 17:40		Summary of Day 1 (N. Abrahamson)
  17:40 ~ 18:00		Comments and Questions from Observers
  18:00		Adjourn
  18:00 ~ 19:00		Closed Meeting: PPRP, Sponsor, PM, PTI and TI Lead



• June 20, 2017 (Tuesday), Morning
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  09:00 ~ 10:40 Chaired by C.T. Cheng
  Fault Source-I	09:00 ~ 10:30	Introduction of Fault Source Modeling	90	C.H. Yeh (葉錦勳)	Jean-Claude Sibuet Wen-Nan Wu (吳文男) J.Bruce H. Shyu (徐澔德) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  10:30 ~ 11:00		Break
  11:00 ~ 12:30 Chaired by C.T. Cheng
  Fault Source - II	11:00 ~ 12:30	North Primary Fault - Shanchiao, ST-II,Aodi, North Ilan and S Fault	90	B.S. Huang (黃柏壽)	Jean-Claude Sibuet J.Bruce H. Shyu (徐澔德) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  12:30 ~ 13:30		Lunch



• June 20, 2017 (Tuesday), Afternoon

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  13:30 ~ 15:00 Chaired by Kevin
  Fault Source -III	13:30 ~  15:00	South Primary Fault- Hengchun Fault and West Hengchun Offshore Structure (Geometry of Manila Subduction Zone)	90	A.T. Lin (林殿順)	Jean-Claude Sibuet Ya-Ju Hsu (許雅儒) Jing-Yi Lin (林靜怡) Song-Chuen Chen (陳松春) J.Bruce H. Shyu (徐澔德) Char-Shine Liu (劉家瑄) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  15:00 ~ 15:20		Break
  15:20 ~ 16:50 Chaired by C.H. Yeh
  Fault Source-IV	15:20 ~ 16:50	Other Faults Onshore and Offshore Faults	90	C.T. Cheng (鄭錦桐)	Jean-Claude Sibuet Jing-Yi Lin (林靜怡) J.Bruce H. Shyu (徐澔德) Char-Shine Liu (劉家瑄) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  		PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  16:50 ~ 17:00		Break
  17:00 ~ 17:40		Summary of Day 2 (N. Abrahamson)
  17:40 ~ 18:00		Comments and Questions from Observers
  18:00		Adjourn
  18:00 ~ 19:00		Closed Meeting: PPRP, Sponsor, PM, PTI and TI Lead



• June 21, 2017 (Wednesday), Morning

  Session		Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  09:00 ~ 10:40 Chaired by A.T. Lin
  Subduction Zone Source Model - I		09:00 ~ 10:20	Ryukyu Subduction Zone	80	C.T. Cheng (鄭錦桐)	Jean-Claude Sibuet Ya-Ju Hsu (許雅儒) Jing-Yi Lin (林靜怡) Char-Shine Liu (劉家瑄) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  			PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  10:20 ~ 10:40			Break
  10:40 ~ 12:00 Chaired by C.T. Cheng
  Subduction Zone Source Model - II	10:40 ~ 12:00		Manila Subduction Zone	80	A.T. Lin (林殿順)	Jean-Claude Sibuet Ya-Ju Hsu (許雅儒) Jing-Yi Lin (林靜怡) Char-Shine Liu (劉家瑄) Kuo-En Ching (景國恩) Ruey-Juin Rau (饒瑞鈞)
  			PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  12:00 ~ 12:30			Summary of Day 3 morning (N. Abrahamson)
  12:30 ~ 13:30			Lunch



• June 21, 2017 (Wednesday), Afternoon
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  13:30 ~ 15:00 Chaired by K.L. Wen
  Introduction and GMC Roadmap	13:30 ~ 13:40	Opening and Introduction of Workshop Ground Rules	10	S.J. Hwang (黃世建) C.L. Wu (吳俊霖)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	13:40 ~ 14:40	GMC Roadmap and Current GMC Logic Tree	60	K.L. Wen (溫國樑)
  	14:40 ~ 15:00	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  15:00 ~ 15:20		Break
  15:20 ~ 16:50 Chaired by K.L. Wen
  Hazard Sensitivity Analysis	15:20 ~ 16:20	Hazard Feedback and Sensitivity of Current Logic Tree	60	N. Abrahamson	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	16:20 ~ 16:50	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  16:50 ~ 17:00		Break
  17:00 ~ 17:40		Summary of Day 3 (N. Abrahamson)
  17:40 ~ 18:00		Comments and Questions from Observers
  18:00		Adjourn
  18:30 ~ 19:30		Closed Meeting: PPRP, Sponsor, PM, PTI and TI Lead



• June 22, 2017 (Thursday), Morning
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  09:00 ~ 10:40 Chaired by B. Chiou
  GMMs with TDIs for Crustal Source - I	09:00 ~ 09:10	Opening	10	C.L. Wu (吳俊霖)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	09:10 ~ 09:50	Adjusted Foreign Model for Crustal Source in Taiwan	40	P.S. Lin (林柏伸) B. Chiou (丘士正)
  	09:50 ~ 10:10	Development of Taiwan Model for Crustal Source - I	20	S.H. Chao (趙書賢) C.C. Hsu (許喬筑)
  	10:10 ~ 10:40	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  10:40 ~ 11:00		Break
  11:00 ~ 12:30 Chaired by B. Chiou
  GMMs with TDIs for Crustal Source - II	11:00 ~ 11:20	Development of Taiwan Model for Crustal Source - II	20	V.B. Phung  C.H. Loh (羅俊雄)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	11:20 ~ 11:40	Comparison of Median Models with TDIs for Crustal Source	20	P.S Lin (林柏伸)
  	11:40 ~ 12:00	Statistical Uncertainty of Median Models for Crustal Source	20	S.H. Chao (趙書賢)  C.C. Hsu (許喬筑)
  	12:00 ~ 12:30	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  12:30 ~ 13:30		Lunch



• June 22, 2017 (Thursday), Afternoon
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  13:30 ~ 15:00 Chaired by P.S. Lin
  Logic Tree of Median for Crustal Source	13:30 ~ 13:50	SOF Factor Nodes for Crustal Source	20	H.C. Chiu (邱宏智)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	13:50 ~ 14:30	Visualization Technique and Weights of Median Models for Crustal Source	40	C.H. Loh (羅俊雄)   V.B. Phung
  	14:30 ~ 15:00	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  15:00 ~ 15:20		Break
  15:20 ~ 16:50 Chaired by P.S. Lin
  Logic Tree of Sigma for Crustal Source	15:20 ~ 15:50	Logic Tree and Weights of Tau Model for Crustal Source	30	Y.N. Huang (黃尹男)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	15:50 ~ 16:20	Logic Tree and Weights of PhiSS Model for Crustal Source	30	Y.N. Huang (黃尹男)
  	16:20 ~ 16:50	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  16:50 ~ 17:00		Break
  17:00 ~ 17:40		Summary of Day 4 (N. Abrahamson)
  17:40 ~ 18:00		Comments and Questions from Observers
  18:00		Adjourn
  18:00 ~ 19:00		Closed Meeting: PPRP, Sponsor, PM, PTI and TI Lead



• June 23, 2017 (Friday), Morning
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  09:00 ~ 10:40 Chaired by Y.N. Huang
  GMMs with TDIs for Subduction Source - I	09:00 ~ 09:10	Opening	10	C.L. Wu (吳俊霖)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	09:10 ~ 09:50	Adjusted Foreign Model for Subduction Source in Taiwan	40	B. Chiou (丘士正) P.S. Lin (林柏伸)
  	09:50 ~ 10:10	Development of Taiwan Model for Subduction Source - I	20	S.H. Chao (趙書賢)  C.C. Hsu (許喬筑)
  	10:10 ~ 10:40	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  10:40 ~ 11:00		Break
  11:00 ~ 12:30 Chaired by Y.N. Huang
  GMMs with TDIs for Subduction Source - II	11:00 ~ 11:20	Development of Taiwan Model for Subduction Source - II	20	V.B. Phung  C.H. Loh (羅俊雄)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	11:20 ~ 11:40	Comparison of Median Models with TDIs for Subduction Source	20	P.S Lin (林柏伸)
  	11:40 ~ 12:00	Statistical Uncertainty of Median Models for Subduction Source	20	S.H. Chao (趙書賢) C.C. Hsu (許喬筑)
  	12:00 ~ 12:30	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  12:30 ~ 13:30		Lunch



• June 23, 2017 (Friday), Afternoon
  

  Session	Time	Topic	Dur. (min.)	Speaker	RE&PE
  13:30 ~ 15:00 Chaired by H.C. Chiu
  Logic Tree of Median for Subduction Source	13:30 ~ 14:10	Visualization Technique and Weights of Median Models for Subduction Source	40	C.H. Loh (羅俊雄) V.B. Phung	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	14:10 ~ 15:00	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  15:00 ~ 15:20		Break
  15:20 ~ 16:50 Chaired by H.C. Chiu
  Logic Tree of Sigma for Subduction Source	15:20 ~ 15:50	Logic Tree and Weights of Tau Model for Subduction Source	30	Y.N. Huang (黃尹男)	Adrian Rodriguez‐Marek Nicolas Kuehn Ralph Archuleta Hungjun Si (司宏俊) Yi-Hau Chen (程毅豪) Kun-Sung Liu (劉坤松) Ming-Che Hsieh (謝銘哲) Yin-Tung Yen (顏銀桐)
  	15:50 ~ 16:20	Logic Tree and Weights of PhiSS Models for Subduction Source	30	Y.N. Huang (黃尹男)
  	16:20 ~ 16:50	PPRP Reviews, Comments and Questions REs and PEs Comments and Questions
  16:50 ~ 17:00		Break
  17:00 ~ 17:40		Summary of Day 5 (N. Abrahamson)
  17:40 ~ 18:00		Comments and Questions from Observers
  18:00		Adjourn
  18:00 ~ 19:00		Closed Meeting: PPRP, Sponsor, PM, PTI and TI Lead

會議資料下載：

• WORKSHOP #3 PROCEEDINGS